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Pandemic 1918: “Flattening the Curve” was done before

It it times like these when we should look first into history for answers before we repeat the same mistakes. Case in point, the Governors, President, and others people in power make it sound like “flattening the curve” is a novel idea. It’s not. Been there, done that, mistakes were made. Only that was back in 1918, and few people know what happened. National Geographic reported...

Pandemic 2020: Next Up, Africa

I’m worried for Africa. I’ve spent the last month dropping into the rabbit hole researching, analyzing, and experiencing the Covid-19 pandemic, and I have seen just one minor analysis of what the pandemic means in Africa. I’m American, but have met and taught hundreds of African entrepreneurs, personally visiting many of their businesses in Africa. In the past week I’ve...

Pandemics are like Playing Cards

All week I’ve had conversations with people from across the U.S. and from around the world who still don’t understand how epidemics work. It’s not at all intuitive. I get that. Three weeks ago I posted this great video to help build that intuition. Daily updated from Dr. John Campbell help as well. Today let’s try making it simple. Today let me explain the pandemic as a...

Pandemic Q&A

Beyond the blog, I’ve been answering a lot of questions about Coronavirus and its economic consequences over on Quora.

Officially, Legally Locked-Down

Governor Jay Inslee has ordered everyone in Washington State to Stay Home, Stay Healthy. More details on the Governor’s Medium page I normally work from home this time of year and most of my days include phone/internet calls with people from across the country and other continents. If you are not living in a hot spot, stock up on non-perishable food now, as this same order is coming to your...

Putting the Economy in Suspended Animation

Albert Wegner posted a proposal on his blog that I’ve been thinking about for the past week. In short, what to do with the millions of businesses that are simply not needed for the next many months as we focus on saving most of humanity. Albert called it Putting the Economy in Suspended Animation which is comprised of four steps: Suspend all interest, mortgage, rent and similar...

And the People Stayed Home

And the people stayed home. And read books, and listened, and rested, and exercised, and made art, and played games, and learned new ways of being, and were still. And listened more deeply. Some meditated, some prayed, some danced. Some met their shadows. And the people began to think differently. And the people healed. And, in the absence of people living in ignorant, dangerous, mindless, and...

Two Weeks Later

My first blog post on the #coronavirus #pandemic was just two week ago. Friday, March 6, 2020 there were 75 known cases in the State of Washington and six deaths. Three days later, 116 cases and 22 deaths. Today, 1,524 cases and 79 deaths. Globally, the total is 172,970 cases and 11,256 deaths. The global graph two weeks ago looked like this: Today it looks like this: The scale in the two graphs...

50% Unemployment (or more)

What comes next from the global pandemic? Unfortunately, it looks like we’re headed to massive unemployment. At least the 25% of the Great Depression. Possibly more, if the lock downs continue for 6 or 9 months. From today’s Seattle Times, the following chart shows the number of jobs at risk in King County (where Seattle and Bellevue are located), Snohomish (the northern suburbs, and...

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